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Climate Change and Rubber output

Concern over climate impact on rubber output

Natural rubber is likely to rule dearer for some more time, but its long-term fortunes are dependant on the pace of global economic recovery, said Dr Stephen Evans, Secretary-General of International Rubber Study Group (IRSG).

In an interaction with the reporters on Friday, Dr Evans, who took over as the IRSG chief in January, said that boom in automobile sector across the globe especially in countries such as China and India augur well for natural rubber demand.

STIMULUS PACKAGE

But much depends on the Government stimulus packages which were boosting the auto sector across the globe.

The current auto boom could not be taken for granted and there can be overriding economic factors that decide the prospects of the industry and consequently the fortunes of rubber.

Dr Evans said that climate change and its impact on natural rubber production had emerged as a serious concern with the fall in production in most of the major rubber producing countries of late.

“As per a recent study, in Malaysia alone, climate vagaries have caused rubber yield to decline at least 3-4 per cent and enhanced the gestation period of new rubber plants from seven years to seven-and-half years,” he said, adding that this may be the general trend in all the rubber producing countries.

NO CLEAR INDICATION

He said that so far there was no clear indication that production of natural rubber has come down drastically due to the adverse impact of climate change.

The task force, constituted under the initiative of IRSG, Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) for evaluating the specific impact of climate change on NR production, is expected to submit its report at the earliest.

Courtesy : Thehindubusinessline

Remarks by a Farmer: The climate change and less rain is favourable for rubber production. Periodical rain will fill the zylem and photosynthesis at leaves are higher than rainy/winter seasons. Thus the dry rubber content will be higher and tapping days can be increased. A comparitative study done by a farmer shows the production growth for the year 2009-10. After 20th of April 2010 the approximate statistics can be calculated by the Rubber Board. The speculations through the media is not correct with out any reality. When the prices are higher tapping days will increase and production also will increase. However Indian Rubber Board published the statistics for the year 2009-10 was far lower than real production. The publicity of last year by the Rubber Board was to increase production by  low frequency  tapping with the application of Ethephon. What hapened to it?

After winter new leaves are forming through the seasonal leaf fall. Thus the leaves are able to prepare carbohydrates on photosynthesis. Tapping can be continued in summer without the application of stimulent “Ethephon”. Low frequency tapping with the application of Ethephon is harmfull rubber trees, because nutrient mining from the bark will lead threes for TPD/Brownbast. A farmers experiences from 360 trees by 150 tapping days and 1,80,000 rupees income from the sale of dry rubber from first April 2009 to 31st March 2010 without rain guard.

An overall performance of World Rubber Production and Consumption have a growth with slight fluctuations, but a large scale fluctuation is visible on prices. The  price difference  between grades in lower and higher prices are the same. Thus when the prices comes down the adverse effects are more to farmers.

1 comment to Climate Change and Rubber output

  • arvind mishra

    हिन्दी के प्रति समर्पण देखकर अच्छा लगा